Policy Paper 43 | Intergenerational Justice and Poverty in Portugal

The aim of this policy paper is to identify and discuss the main methodology issues involved in  the evaluation of different dimensions of poverty and living conditions in the context of the construction of an Intergenerational Justice Index (IJI) while endeavouring to answer the question “What future are we leaving to the next generations in terms of poverty level and living conditions?”.The relationship between (a multidimensional definition of) poverty and Intergenerational Justice (IJ) is discussed in detail, widening the traditional view of short-term poverty and long-term IJ problem with an integrated approach. The latter acknowledges that higher levels of poverty…
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Policy Paper 42 | Environment and Natural Resources in Portugal: Measuring Intergenerational Justice

This paper develops an index to assess intergenerational justice in the domain of environment and natural resources in Portugal. Given the conceptual and operational challenges associated with directly measuring intergenerational justice, the analysis adopts a strong sustainability perspective, focusing on whether current environmental trajectories are consistent with preserving natural capital for future generations. The proposed framework interprets long-term policy targets as implicit intergenerational social contracts and evaluates performance relative to these benchmarks.The index is constructed using a parsimonious set of indicators covering five key dimensions: climate change, forests and biodiversity, circular economy, water pollution, and freshwater consumption. These indicators are…
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Policy Paper 41 | The Housing Question and Intergenerational Justice in Portugal

This policy paper presents an index of intergenerational justice in the field of housing in Portugal, built using OECD and ICOR/EU‑SILC data and covering the period between 2016 and 2023. The index is structured into four sub‑dimensions: (1) affordability; (2) housing cost overburden; (3) independence; and (4) housing conditions.Affordability assesses the financial effort required from households, measured through the ratio between housing prices and disposable income. Housing cost overburden corresponds to the share of individuals, in each age group, living in households where expenses with rent, mortgage interest, maintenance, water, electricity, gas, sewage, and taxes represent 40% or more of…
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Policy Paper 39 | Intergenerational Justice in Health in Portugal: an analysis based on the Intergenerational Justice Index

As part of the Intergenerational Justice Index, Policy Paper 39 further develops a tool designed to monitor the evolution of intergenerational justice in Portugal, with a particular focus on healthcare.Authored by Aida Isabel Tavares, the policy paper clarifies the concept of intergenerational health as the stock of health shaped over time and proposes indicators assessing quality and quantity of life, access to healthcare, and public expenditure.Read the full policy paper here
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Policy Paper 40 | The Evolution of the EU Budget: From MFF 2021–2027 to MFF 2028–2034

Policy Paper 40 examines the evolution of the European Union’s budgetary framework from the 2021–2027 Multiannual Financial Framework to the proposed 2028–2034 cycle, highlighting the transformations driven by the COVID-19 crisis, Next Generation EU, and the Union’s emerging strategic priorities. The paper analyses the growing emphasis on competitiveness, innovation, defence, and the green and digital transitions, while also addressing the governance, implementation, and territorial cohesion challenges associated with the EU’s new performance-based funding model. It further presents recommendations for Southern European Member States and EU institutions, advocating a balanced approach that reconciles competitiveness with solidarity and regional development within the…
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Policy Paper 38 | Rigid Budgets, Fragile Adjustments: The Fiscal Consequences of an Expanding Wage Bill

This policy paper examines one of the key structural challenges to fiscal consolidation in Portugal: the rigidity of public expenditure, with a particular focus on the public sector wage bill. Against the backdrop of fiscal normalization under high debt and constrained policy space, the analysis explores how wage-bill dynamics shape the pace, composition, and sustainability of fiscal adjustment. Drawing on recent empirical evidence and the Portuguese experience, the paper highlights the limitations of short-term, crisis-driven measures and argues for durable structural reforms in public employment and pay-setting frameworks to support credible and growth-friendly consolidation.Read the Policy Paper here.About the Institute…
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PromethEUs Conference: Making the 2028-2034 MFF fit for EU Competitiveness

Join the PromethEUs network for an insightful conference focusing on the future of European financing.Topic: "Making the 2028-2034 MFF fit for EU Competitiveness"Date: Tuesday, 9 December Time: 12:30 – 14:00 (A light lunch will be available starting at 12:00)Location: I-Com premises, Avenue des Arts 50, BrusselsWhat to ExpectDuring this event, PromethEUs will officially present its second study of 2025.The comprehensive study will analyze the proposal for the new Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) in four key chapters, featuring:A detailed comparison with the previous MFF.An in-depth look at the proposed European Competitive Fund.An analysis of the specific financing needs of the digital…
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Rethinking Electoral Districts: Justice and Representation

The Institute of Public Policy – Lisbon will host, in November at ISEG, the workshop “Rethinking Electoral Districts: Justice and Representation.”Electoral districts refer to the territorial constituencies that serve as the basis for converting votes into seats, a process that in Portugal follows the D’Hondt method. However, the magnitude of these districts — that is, the number of representatives elected in each constituency — varies greatly. This disparity affects electoral fairness and increases the number of wasted votes, particularly in low-magnitude districts (for example, Portalegre), thereby encouraging “tactical voting.”This workshop will serve as a forum to discuss the challenges associated…
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OE 2026: Local Finances, Decentralization and Housing

October 28th, 2025, at 6:00 p.m., ISEG (Auditorium 2)The decentralization of powers to local authorities, and their key role in implementing EU funds in the area of housing, raise important questions that will be addressed at the seminar OE 2026: Local Finances, Decentralization and Housing. Beyond the 2026 State Budget, it is also essential to analyse the budgetary execution of 2025 and 2024, in order to reflect on the impact of fiscal policy on crucial areas of public governance.i. Will the funding foreseen in the 2026 State Budget be sufficient given the expanded responsibilities of local authorities?ii. Will municipalities have…
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International Conference – Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation | Presentation of the 2025 Intergenerational Justice Index Results

On December 4th, between 10:00 and 13:00, the Institute of Public Policy, in partnership with the Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation, will host an international conference to present the updated Intergenerational Justice Index for Portugal.This event aims to share the new results and foster debate on public policies that promote a fairer distribution of opportunities across generations, with a special focus on the areas of environment, health, labour market, housing, public finances, and poverty and living conditions — the core dimensions of the Index’s methodology.More information coming soon.
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